日韩精品久久一区二区三区_亚洲色图p_亚洲综合在线最大成人_国产中出在线观看_日韩免费_亚洲综合在线一区

Global EditionASIA 中文雙語Fran?ais
Opinion
Home / Opinion / Op-Ed Contributors

Any capital outflow must not be allowed to hurt stock market

By Xin Zhiming | China Daily | Updated: 2017-05-25 07:20
Share
Share - WeChat

An investor checks stock information on his mobile phone in front of an electronic board showing stock information at a brokerage house in Beijing, Feb 16, 2016.[Photo/Agencies]

China's stock market continued to tumble on Tuesday but, unlike other major indexes across the world, the fall was not triggered by the terrorist attack during an Ariana Grande concert at Manchester Arena in the United Kingdom on Monday. Instead, the weakening of the Chinese stock market in recent weeks is a reflection of the domestic market's inherent problems and the unstable global macroeconomic and financial situation.

The benchmark Shanghai Composite Index dropped by a moderate 0.45 percent to hit 3061.95 on Tuesday, but most stocks slumped, with only a small number of big-cap stocks managing to rise. Since early April, the SCI has dropped 7 percent, with individual stocks slumping by much larger margins.

It is reasonable to attribute the fall of stocks to the economic slowdown and the tight regulation that China has imposed on the market to curb broad financial risks.

China achieved an impressive GDP growth of 6.9 percent in the first quarter of this year, higher than the 6.7 percent growth last year. But most analysts say the strong growth could gradually ease in the coming quarters given the stringent tightening of the real estate market.

The real estate sector and related industries have contributed to a significant part of China's growth, but the exorbitantly high housing prices have compelled the government to impose strict restrictions on sales and raise the down payment for homebuyers in most major cities, which could slow the growth of the sector and thus the overall economy.

The monetary regulators, meanwhile, have started tightening liquidity by strengthening financial regulation, which, together with the government's efforts to reduce overcapacity, is expected to further dampen economic activities. As a sign of the tightened monetary policy, China's broad measure of money supply, or M2, increased only by 10.5 percent in April, the slowest pace since July last year.

China has set a GDP growth target at around 6.5 percent this year. Although some economists have forecast that it could achieve that target, others say growth may drop next year.

The movement of the stock market is not a reflection of the current economic situation, but of the future changes in the economic fundamentals. Even though the economy has stabilized, there is little possibility that it will pick up strongly this year or the next to achieve a GDP growth rate significantly higher than in previous years.

Apart from the economic downturn, the China Securities Regulatory Commission's strict approach in recent months has also put pressure on the vitality of the stock market. The CSRC has rightly started to cleanse the market by putting behind bars stock dealers engaged in illegal activities, including those manipulating stock prices and giving false information. But such market regulations have also brought uncertainty to the market, prompting many investors to resort to panic selling of stocks.

Besides, the US' interest rate hike early this year and expectations that it will continue to raise it further has created major fluctuations in the international financial market. Analysts generally agree that if the US continues to raise its interest rates, it will prompt more and more international capital to withdraw from emerging markets, including China, and flow into the US.

No one is sure about whether the US economy will improve to the extent of triggering more interest rate hikes, but the depreciation of the yuan against the US dollar and China's declining foreign exchange reserves since the second half of last year show the serious impact of such interest rate hike expectations on the stability of the emerging market economies.

Given these factors, the Chinese authorities have attached more importance to taking pre-emptive measures to ward off financial risks and minimize the effect of any capital outflow. As a result, the CSRC has been very cautious in guiding the index lower so that a capital outflow does not have a serious impact on the domestic stock market.

The author is a senior writer with China Daily.

[email protected]

Most Viewed in 24 Hours
Top
BACK TO THE TOP
English
Copyright 1995 - . All rights reserved. The content (including but not limited to text, photo, multimedia information, etc) published in this site belongs to China Daily Information Co (CDIC). Without written authorization from CDIC, such content shall not be republished or used in any form. Note: Browsers with 1024*768 or higher resolution are suggested for this site.
License for publishing multimedia online 0108263

Registration Number: 130349
FOLLOW US
主站蜘蛛池模板: 99在线热播精品免费 | 国产亚洲精品久久久极品美女 | 特级毛片s级全部免费 | 草操影院| 九一在线观看 | 九九re6精品视频在线观看 | 国产亚洲一级精品久久 | 九九久久看少妇高潮A片特黄 | 一区二区三区在线 | 网站 | 欧美成人观看 | 日韩欧美视频在线一区二区 | 日本国产视频 | 999精品免费视频观看 | 亚洲国产日韩在线观频 | 男女性高爱潮免费网站 | 犬夜叉在线观看 | 一级毛片一级毛片一级毛片 | 干片网 | 久久色亚洲 | 亚洲欧美v视色一区二区 | 国产精品久久久久久52AVAV | 黄色片免费在线 | www伊人网 | 成人在线中文字幕 | 国产成人精品在线观看 | 久久网亚洲 | 91短视频版在线观看免费大全 | 日韩欧美一区二区三区四区 | 97超级碰碰视频在线 | 日韩免费一区二区三区 | 97日日| 欧美一级高清毛片aaa | 在线一区免费视频播放 | 免费观看一级欧美在线视频 | 三级免费黄色片 | 偷拍自拍在线播放 | 亚州精品天堂中文字幕 | 久久不卡 | 午夜影院恐怖电影免费看 | av免费资源 | 国产精品日本欧美一区二区 |