日韩精品久久一区二区三区_亚洲色图p_亚洲综合在线最大成人_国产中出在线观看_日韩免费_亚洲综合在线一区

Global EditionASIA 中文雙語Fran?ais
Business
Home / Business / Finance

Expectations grow of further policy easing

By Chen Jia | China Daily | Updated: 2019-08-15 07:32
Share
Share - WeChat
In terms of monetary policy, experts expected the central bank to continue adding liquidity to the banking system. [Photo/VCG]

Market expectations of the central bank adopting an easing policy are rising, after China's industrial output growth cooled in July, although the monetary authority has repeatedly confirmed its cautious stance since the third quarter, analysts said.

Many economists predicted that growth downside risks will rise, amid subdued global demand and the renewed escalation of US-China trade tensions, especially if policymakers do not step up policy easing.

The nation's money and credit data in July surprised the market, following gloomy industrial production data which also indicated weaker economic growth momentum at the beginning of the second half of this year.

The growth momentum of the world's second-largest economy moderated in July, after a pickup in June, according to a series of indicators released on Wednesday by the National Bureau of Statistics. It reported that industrial output fell markedly to 4.8 percent.

"The growth momentum has yet to gain a firmer footing while the slowdown in credit growth does not bode well for growth," said Louis Kuijs, head of Asia Economics at Oxford Economics.

"We expect further policy easing in the coming months to help stabilize growth amid the headwinds. However, it appears that the impact of the easing so far has remained muted," said Kuijs. "This is in part because policymakers retain an eye on macro leverage and financial risks."

Slower credit growth was in line with the country's softening economy last month. Total social financing, a measure preferred by analysts that reflects overall credit growth, grew 10.7 percent year-on-year in July, slower than 11.2 percent in June, according to data released on Monday by the People's Bank of China, the central bank.

These measures include all local government bond issuance and off-balance sheet forms of financing such as loans from trust companies. Bank lending growth fell further to 12.7 percent from 13.2 percent in the same period. Off-balance sheet lending dropped further and local government bonds issuance slowed.

New yuan-denominated loans fell to 1.06 trillion yuan ($150.06 billion) in July from 1.66 trillion in June, which was weaker than market expectations. While the growth pace of M2, a broad measure of money supply that covers cash in circulation and all deposits, also slowed to 8.1 percent, the lowest level since December 2018, according to the official data.

In terms of monetary policy, experts expected the central bank to continue adding liquidity to the banking system. Possible measures could be a combination of reserve requirement ratio cuts-a total of 1 percentage point for the rest of this year is likely, and lending facilities such as the medium-term lending facility (MLF), the targeted MLF(TMLF), re-lending and rediscounting.

There will be 383 billion yuan of medium-term lending facility loans due to mature on Thursday, and analysts expected the central bank to roll over the maturing debt and keep liquidity at an ample level.

A research note from Nomura Securities showed that liquidity conditions tightened modestly in July, as suggested by a rise in interbank interest rates. The monthly average of seven-day interbank repo rates for banks rose to 2.5 percent from 2.41 percent in June.

"Despite limited room for policy easing and the authorities' cautious policy stance, we believe the government will need to increase monetary and fiscal measures to stabilize financial markets and bolster growth because of strong growth headwinds," said Lu Ting, chief economist with Nomura Securities.

Top
BACK TO THE TOP
English
Copyright 1995 - . All rights reserved. The content (including but not limited to text, photo, multimedia information, etc) published in this site belongs to China Daily Information Co (CDIC). Without written authorization from CDIC, such content shall not be republished or used in any form. Note: Browsers with 1024*768 or higher resolution are suggested for this site.
License for publishing multimedia online 0108263

Registration Number: 130349
FOLLOW US
CLOSE
 
主站蜘蛛池模板: 一级毛片视频 | 午夜丰满少妇高清毛片1000部 | 99pao成人国产永久免费视频 | a级片在线视频 | 国产精品98福利小视频 | 高清人人天天夜夜曰狠狠狠狠 | 天天干伊人 | 亚洲高清在线看 | 欧美日韩视频在线第一区 | 性猛交ⅹxxx乱巴西 无人精品乱码一区二区三区 | 国产网站在线播放 | xnxx 美女19| 国产伦精品一区二区三区精品视频 | 91九色视频观看 | 超级在线牛碰碰视频 | 国产欧美日韩不卡一区二区三区 | 免费一级毛片在线播放视频 | 天天综合久久 | 亚洲国产婷婷香蕉久久久久久99 | 成人在线免费观看 | 欧美精品一区二区三区在线 | 亚洲激情视频在线观看 | 波多野结衣在线观看网址 | 亚洲精品免费在线 | 日韩在线观看精品 | 91看点| 九九九热在线精品免费全部 | 欧美日韩中文视频 | 性夜a爽黄爽 | 亚洲人人精品 | 国产精品免费大片一区二区 | 亚洲综合色一区二区三区另类 | 91成人午夜性a一级毛片 | 一区二区三区高清在线观看 | 亚洲国产欧洲综合997久久 | 538prom国产在线视频一区 | 天堂资源在线中文 | 日韩黄色一级视频 | 奇米影视第四色av首页 | 爽爽影院在线看 | 免费视频在线看 |