日韩精品久久一区二区三区_亚洲色图p_亚洲综合在线最大成人_国产中出在线观看_日韩免费_亚洲综合在线一区

Global EditionASIA 中文雙語Fran?ais
Business
Home / Business / Finance

Expectations grow of further policy easing

By Chen Jia | China Daily | Updated: 2019-08-15 07:32
Share
Share - WeChat
In terms of monetary policy, experts expected the central bank to continue adding liquidity to the banking system. [Photo/VCG]

Market expectations of the central bank adopting an easing policy are rising, after China's industrial output growth cooled in July, although the monetary authority has repeatedly confirmed its cautious stance since the third quarter, analysts said.

Many economists predicted that growth downside risks will rise, amid subdued global demand and the renewed escalation of US-China trade tensions, especially if policymakers do not step up policy easing.

The nation's money and credit data in July surprised the market, following gloomy industrial production data which also indicated weaker economic growth momentum at the beginning of the second half of this year.

The growth momentum of the world's second-largest economy moderated in July, after a pickup in June, according to a series of indicators released on Wednesday by the National Bureau of Statistics. It reported that industrial output fell markedly to 4.8 percent.

"The growth momentum has yet to gain a firmer footing while the slowdown in credit growth does not bode well for growth," said Louis Kuijs, head of Asia Economics at Oxford Economics.

"We expect further policy easing in the coming months to help stabilize growth amid the headwinds. However, it appears that the impact of the easing so far has remained muted," said Kuijs. "This is in part because policymakers retain an eye on macro leverage and financial risks."

Slower credit growth was in line with the country's softening economy last month. Total social financing, a measure preferred by analysts that reflects overall credit growth, grew 10.7 percent year-on-year in July, slower than 11.2 percent in June, according to data released on Monday by the People's Bank of China, the central bank.

These measures include all local government bond issuance and off-balance sheet forms of financing such as loans from trust companies. Bank lending growth fell further to 12.7 percent from 13.2 percent in the same period. Off-balance sheet lending dropped further and local government bonds issuance slowed.

New yuan-denominated loans fell to 1.06 trillion yuan ($150.06 billion) in July from 1.66 trillion in June, which was weaker than market expectations. While the growth pace of M2, a broad measure of money supply that covers cash in circulation and all deposits, also slowed to 8.1 percent, the lowest level since December 2018, according to the official data.

In terms of monetary policy, experts expected the central bank to continue adding liquidity to the banking system. Possible measures could be a combination of reserve requirement ratio cuts-a total of 1 percentage point for the rest of this year is likely, and lending facilities such as the medium-term lending facility (MLF), the targeted MLF(TMLF), re-lending and rediscounting.

There will be 383 billion yuan of medium-term lending facility loans due to mature on Thursday, and analysts expected the central bank to roll over the maturing debt and keep liquidity at an ample level.

A research note from Nomura Securities showed that liquidity conditions tightened modestly in July, as suggested by a rise in interbank interest rates. The monthly average of seven-day interbank repo rates for banks rose to 2.5 percent from 2.41 percent in June.

"Despite limited room for policy easing and the authorities' cautious policy stance, we believe the government will need to increase monetary and fiscal measures to stabilize financial markets and bolster growth because of strong growth headwinds," said Lu Ting, chief economist with Nomura Securities.

Top
BACK TO THE TOP
English
Copyright 1995 - . All rights reserved. The content (including but not limited to text, photo, multimedia information, etc) published in this site belongs to China Daily Information Co (CDIC). Without written authorization from CDIC, such content shall not be republished or used in any form. Note: Browsers with 1024*768 or higher resolution are suggested for this site.
License for publishing multimedia online 0108263

Registration Number: 130349
FOLLOW US
CLOSE
 
主站蜘蛛池模板: 男女视频在线观看免费 | 欧美午夜一区二区三区免费大片 | 欧美激情精品久久久久久黑人 | 狠狠色欧美亚洲狠狠色www | 日韩久久精品 | 九九视频只有精品 | 国产精品99久久久久久www | 三区在线视频 | 国产精品高潮呻吟久久av黑人 | 日韩在线免费观看视频 | 久草福利资源网站免费 | 国产成人18黄禁网站免费观看 | 日韩在线观看你懂的 | 国产在线视频一区二区 | 日韩欧美福利视频 | 日本久久精品 | 久久精品在这里 | 日本不卡一区 | 亚洲综合久久1区2区3区 | 国产黄色片网站 | 亚洲aⅴ| 视频精品一区 | 久久99久久99精品免观看不卡 | 五月婷婷六月天 | 久久狠狠色狠狠色综合 | 国内成人自拍视频 | 毛片少妇爽到高潮特黄A片 六月色播 | 婷婷在线免费观看 | 黄色综合 | 久草视频免费在线看 | 污污网站国产精品白丝袜 | 一区二区国产在线播放 | 午夜福利视频 | 欧美成人精品一区二区三区 | 国产乱码精品一区二区三区中 | 国产99久久精品一区二区 | 欧美久草视频 | 无遮挡又黄又爽又色的动态图1000 | 青草视频在线观看免费资源 | 日韩成人免费av | 一区日韩 |