日韩精品久久一区二区三区_亚洲色图p_亚洲综合在线最大成人_国产中出在线观看_日韩免费_亚洲综合在线一区

HONG KONG - China should learn from Europe's mistakes and promote innovation and entrepreneurship to avoid slipping into economic stagnation in the longer term, the 2006 Nobel laureate for economics said on Tuesday.

Years of nearly double-digit growth have turned China into the world's fourth-largest economy, but questions abound for how long the world's most populous nation can sustain its rapid expansion.

China's fast productivity and investment growth is bound to slow as its wages rise and it gets closer to closing the technology gap with the United States, Edmund Phelps told a conference in Hong Kong.

When that happens, wage growth will slow, reducing the incentives for people to join the labour force as was the case in Western Europe after the post-war boom of the 1950s and 1960s.

"At this point unemployment rises, labour force participation declines and you get into problems we've observed in Europe in recent decades," Phelps said.

The way to avoid stagnation and sluggish growth that have plagued Europe for the past decades is to ensure the economy can be innovative and encourages enterpreneurship, he said.

Phelps said China's education system should be more geared towards encouraging innovative thinking, while the country's legal framework needs to become more supportive of entrepreneurial activity.

"It's got to be easy to start a company, have governmental support, legal support," Phelps, who is a professor of political economy at Columbia University in New York, said.

China's financial sector also had a way to go before it reaches a level of expertise needed to evaluate innovative projects, he said.

Phelps said demand for sophisticated technologies has not yet reached the critical mass China needs to catch up with top industrialised nations.

"The increase in the stock of capital that's invested in sophisticated industry in China -- to bring China to the high-tech level of the United States -- is muted because there isn't the consumer demand there for it right away," Phelps said.

India, another Asian economic powerhouse, was better placed to support innovation because it has rule of law, democracy, a history of open trade and a strong background in maths and English-language teaching, Phelps said.

However, the model of the technologically advanced city of Bangalore was not replicated across the country and poor Indian public services hampered entrepreneurial activity.