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The future of population growth in Hechi

By
2018-04-08

1. Two-child policy

The implementation of the two-child policy allows for more population growth in the city. Hechi will be able to optimize its demographic structure, improve people's health, increase labor supply, relieve pressure caused by the aging population and promote harmony within the family and society.

2. Urbanization

The urbanization rate in Hechi is estimated to increase by 2.2 percent annually, with the rate expected to reach 42 percent by 2020. This will increase labor supply, alleviate the developmental disparity between urban and rural areas and improve the overall population quality.

3. Health industry

Health tourism in Hechi has developed rapidly during the 13th Five-Year Plan. The city will make use of its environmental resources to establish several high-end holiday resorts revolving around health and longevity in Bama, which will in turn promote the development of industries relating to population health.

4. Higher natural growth rate of population

With the implementation of the two-child policy, the birth rate in Guangxi Zhuang autonomous region is expected to increase, with its population predicted to peak around 2030. The natural growth rate of Hechi's population will be roughly equal to that of the surrounding region.

5. Greater appeal to workers

The upgrading of the industrial structure has greatly improved Guangxi's appeal to the work force. The development of local industries increases demand for labor. The permanent resident population of Hechi is expected to grow during the 13th Five-Year Plan. The gap between the number of permanent residents and registered population will narrow by 2030.

6. Increased size of working-age population

The working-age population of Guangxi will increase steadily during the 13th Five-Year Plan. The abundant labor resources are conducive to capital transfer and industrial transfer.

7. Challenges

Hechi is still an underdeveloped region with 691,000 people still living in poverty. It suffers from a lack of innovation and a shortage of skilled workers and needs to take effective measures to reduce poverty and further improve quality of life.

Main goals for population growth in Hechi from 2016-2030

1. Population size

It is estimated that by 2020, the registered population of Hechi will be 4.5 million, with 3.58 million permanent residents. By 2030, the registered population will reach 5.2 million, with 4.55 million permanent residents.

2. Population structure

The gender ratio in Hechi will be around 112 males for every 100 females by 2020, and around 108 males for every 100 females by 2030. A more balanced population will lead to higher growth.

3. Health and education

By 2020, the infant mortality rate in Hechi will be less than 7.5 percent, and the maternal mortality rate will be less than 18 per 100,000. Average life expectancy will reach 78 years. By 2020, the working-age population will receive 10 years of education on average. By 2030, that number will increase to 12 years.

4. Population distribution

Hechi will promote the process of urbanization. By 2020, the urban registered population will reach 4.5 million people. By 2030, it will reach 5.2 million people. It is hoped that the urbanization rate will reach 62 percent by 2030.

5. Services for various groups

Hechi will guarantee basic rights for groups such as seniors, women, children, the disabled and the poor. By 2020, home-based care service will cover more than 90 percent of communities in urban areas and more than 60 percent in rural areas. By 2030, all seniors will have access to home-based care service in Hechi.

6. Employment and livelihood

Hechi will actively implement employment policies and promote employment. The main priority is to transfer labor from rural areas and lift 691,000 people out of poverty.

Hechi's population growth mission from 2016-2030

1. To fully implement the two-child policy;

2. To optimize demographic structure;

3. To better allocate public service resources;

4. To improve education for citizens;

5. To bring in more skilled workers;

6. To strengthen the health tourism industry;

7. To deal with the aging population;

8. To regulate population distribution;

9. To improve urbanization services;

10. To carry out more targeted poverty alleviation measures;

11. To protect the rights of women and children and bring more benefits to the disabled;

12. To promote the sustainable development of individual families.

Measures to guarantee the implementation of the plan

1. Hechi will build an information platform which provides population advice by collecting real-time information and evaluating the demographic situation.

2. The public will be educated on how to give birth to a healthy baby. Health departments will provide comprehensive services to citizens.

3. Hechi will promote and educate people about the two-child policy.

4. The government will become more transparent and be subject to the supervision of citizens. The Population and Family Planning Commission will monitor and evaluate the process and promote its implementation.

Hechi is located in the northwestern part of Guangxi Zhuang autonomous region and the southern foothills of the Yungui Plateau.